PFD report

Martin Keith Sullivan · Prevention of Future Deaths report

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Issued 2 Mar 2021•Manchester South

Report record

Published report and response evidence

This page connects the concerns raised in this report with statements found in recipients’ published responses. A link shows a clear evidence connection; it does not assign responsibility.

View original report
Concerns
3

Raised in this report

Recipients
2

Named on the report

Responses found
2

Of 2 recipients

Stated actions
3

Described in responses

Source document

Full report text

This is the full text from the original published report.

Open published report

Concerns and recipient responses

Select any concern, action or position to view the source wording.

Report evidence summary

Concerns raised3

  1. Failure of the asthma triage script to require direct questioning about ineffective breathing
    Part of recurring concern: Failure to reliably respond to patient breathing emergenciesPart of recurring concern: Unreliable Medical Priority Dispatch System emergency assessment and advice pathways
  2. Failure to provide timely Category 2 ambulance responses during periods of high demand
    Part of recurring concern: Delays in ambulance attendancePart of recurring concern: Insufficient ambulance service capacity for emergency calls
  3. Failure of the MPDS algorithm to account for the cumulative effect of multiple symptoms
    Part of recurring concern: Unreliable Medical Priority Dispatch System emergency assessment and advice pathways
Responses linked to these concerns

Each statement is shown once, even when linked to more than one concern.

Actions described in response An action is something a recipient says it has done, is doing, or plans to do in response to a concern raised.3

  1. Action

    Provide significant commissioner investment in the ambulance service to support response standards and frontline capacity.

    Stated by NHS Lancashire and South Cumbria Integrated Care BoardStated completedThe respondent said that this action was complete when they made their response on 8 March 2021.
  2. Action

    Review progress on ineffective-breathing improvement actions through monthly commissioner-led clinical quality assurance meetings.

    Stated by NHS Lancashire and South Cumbria Integrated Care BoardStated in progressThe respondent said that this action was in progress when they made their response on 8 March 2021.
  3. Action

    Hold a learning event for ambulance services and triage-system providers to share best practice on safely identifying ineffective breathing.

    Stated by NHS EnglandStated plannedThe respondent said that this action was planned when they made their response on 8 March 2021.

Respondent positions A position is what a recipient says about a concern when it does not describe a specific action.4

  1. Position

    NWAS, not commissioners, decides which clinical decision-support tool operates in the 999 environment; response categories are nationally determined.

    Stated by NHS Lancashire and South Cumbria Integrated Care BoardRedirects responsibilityThe respondent said that another organisation was responsible for deciding or taking action.

Source evidence

How this individual concern was interpreted

PFD Monitor created a concise, searchable interpretation from the report wording shown below. Response links show a clear evidence connection; they do not assign responsibility.

PFD Monitor interpretation

Failure of the asthma triage script to require direct questioning about ineffective breathing

Wider context from the report

“2. Rule 6 of the MPDS Protocol recognises that asthma patients are generally very experienced in managing their disease. Noting that statements such as can’t breathe and unable to breathe or a similar description should be considered as ineffective breathing. Ineffective breathing eliciting a Category 1 response. It is not clear whether this requires a direct question from the EMD or whether it falls into the volunteered category of factors. There was no direct question from the EMD in this case. Given the significance of breathing problems in an asthma attack, and the inevitable progression without intervention, it is imperative in my view that the script seeks more detail and should not rely on information being ‘volunteered’. ”

Is this part of a recurring concern?

Yes — Failure to reliably respond to patient breathing emergencies; Unreliable Medical Priority Dispatch System emergency assessment and advice pathways.

Open source report

Source evidence

How this individual concern was interpreted

PFD Monitor created a concise, searchable interpretation from the report wording shown below. Response links show a clear evidence connection; they do not assign responsibility.

PFD Monitor interpretation

Failure to provide timely Category 2 ambulance responses during periods of high demand

Wider context from the report

“3. This was clearly a busy shift for NWAS, notwithstanding that the service was at 97% of commissioned capacity. 111 ambulances instead of 112 – having increased from 67 circa one hour previously, and it is likely that this was probably building from the reduced numbers of ambulance over the earlier period. The EA that eventually arrived was outside the 90ᵗʰ percentile target of 40mins. There is a clear history of NWAS being unable to meet NHS Cat 2 target times, in particular during Qs 3 & 4. NWAS Annual reports 2018/19 Yearly Category 2 targets: mean - 24.14mins and 90% - 52.31, with increased times for Qs 3&4. The Category 1,3 &4 targets are generally well met. 2019/20 Yearly Category 2 targets: mean – 26 mins and 90% - 56.27 mins, with increased times for Qs 3&4. The Category 1,3 &4 targets are generally well met. I understand that resource funding was applied for in November 19 and has been utilised from February 2020. ”

Is this part of a recurring concern?

Yes — Delays in ambulance attendance; Insufficient ambulance service capacity for emergency calls.

Open source report

Source evidence

How this individual concern was interpreted

PFD Monitor created a concise, searchable interpretation from the report wording shown below. Response links show a clear evidence connection; they do not assign responsibility.

PFD Monitor interpretation

Failure of the MPDS algorithm to account for the cumulative effect of multiple symptoms

Wider context from the report

“1. The MPDS script and algorithm, it seems, were inadequate in this instance to recognise the life-threatening situation that Martin was in. On the Paediatric evidence this acute attack was only going to end in one way without medical intervention. The evidence before me was that delay in treatment is the main cause of asthma deaths in children. The algorithm does not account for the cumulative effect of more than one symptom. In this instance; difficulty breathing between sentences, clammy/sweaty and changes in colour. The Paediatric evidence was that these symptoms in a well-controlled asthmatic whose home remedies are not working are indicative of a severe and life threatening condition. ”

Is this part of a recurring concern?

Yes — Unreliable Medical Priority Dispatch System emergency assessment and advice pathways.

Open source report

Source evidence

How this respondent action was interpreted

PFD Monitor created a concise, searchable interpretation from the published response wording shown below.

PFD Monitor interpretation

Provide significant commissioner investment in the ambulance service to support response standards and frontline capacity.

Verbatim wording from the response

“The investment over recent years has been in response to changes in demand and the national Ambulance Response Programme (ARP) standards that were introduced in August 2017. This replaced the previous targets with a fairer system whereby ambulance trusts would be measured on both their mean and their 90th percentile performance for each category of patient. Commissioners have invested significantly in the ambulance service since the introduction of the ARP standards.”

Source location

2021-0056-Response-from-Clinical-Commissioning-Group-Redacted
Page 2 · response
Published 8 March 2021

Open published response

Source evidence

How this respondent action was interpreted

PFD Monitor created a concise, searchable interpretation from the published response wording shown below.

PFD Monitor interpretation

Review progress on ineffective-breathing improvement actions through monthly commissioner-led clinical quality assurance meetings.

Verbatim wording from the response

“Progress against these actions is regularly reviewed at each monthly meeting of the commissioner-led Regional Clinical Quality Assurance Committee (RCQAC) to ensure that actions continue to be taken, and to support NWAS in national discussions on the ineffective breathing MPDS algorithm and working closely with the IAED to establish best practice for the identification of ineffective breathing and developing processes that will further reduce future risk.”

Source location

2021-0056-Response-from-Clinical-Commissioning-Group-Redacted
Page 2 · response
Published 8 March 2021

Open published response

Source evidence

How this respondent action was interpreted

PFD Monitor created a concise, searchable interpretation from the published response wording shown below.

PFD Monitor interpretation

Hold a learning event for ambulance services and triage-system providers to share best practice on safely identifying ineffective breathing.

Verbatim wording from the response

“In order to ensure that the process of identifying ineffective breathing is embedded within all ambulance services NHS England and NHS Improvement will hold a learning event with all ambulance services, inviting the involvement of triage system providers, to share best practice and ensure ambulance services are enabled to utilise the triage systems safely and effectively.”

Source location

2021-0056-Response-from-NHS-England-and-NHS-Improvement-Redacted
Page 3 · response
Published 8 March 2021

Open published response

Source evidence

How this respondent position was interpreted

PFD Monitor created a concise, searchable interpretation from the published response wording shown below.

PFD Monitor interpretation

NWAS, not commissioners, decides which clinical decision-support tool operates in the 999 environment; response categories are nationally determined.

Verbatim wording from the response

“The choice of which clinical decision support tool to operate in the 999 environment lies with NWAS as the ambulance service provider. MPDS is an internationally developed and accredited tool provided by the International Academies of Emergency Dispatch (IAED) and is used by several UK ambulance services. The outcomes reached after MPDS assessment are aligned to the ambulance response categories. These are nationally determined and not set by NWAS or commissioners.”

Source location

2021-0056-Response-from-Clinical-Commissioning-Group-Redacted
Page 1 · response
Published 8 March 2021

Open published response

Source evidence

How this respondent position was interpreted

PFD Monitor created a concise, searchable interpretation from the published response wording shown below.

PFD Monitor interpretation

NWAS, rather than commissioners, determines ambulance deployment, planned resources, shift arrangements and operational service delivery.

Verbatim wording from the response

“At the point of contract agreement, it is then for NWAS to implement an approach that will deliver the outcomes agreed, i.e. ARP standards. Commissioners do not specifically determine how many ambulances they have, where these are distributed, what shift times they operate and so on. This level of operational detail is down to internal NWAS planning and service delivery.”

Source location

2021-0056-Response-from-Clinical-Commissioning-Group-Redacted
Page 3 · response
Published 8 March 2021

Open published response

Source evidence

How this respondent position was interpreted

PFD Monitor created a concise, searchable interpretation from the published response wording shown below.

PFD Monitor interpretation

As of January 2021, NWAS was not a national outlier in recognising ineffective breathing and performed similarly to other ambulance services.

Verbatim wording from the response

“The current position is that as of January 2021 NWAS perform similarly to other ambulance services in this regard and are not a national outlier in recognition of ineffective breathing.”

Source location

2021-0056-Response-from-Clinical-Commissioning-Group-Redacted
Page 2 · response
Published 8 March 2021

Open published response

Source evidence

How this respondent position was interpreted

PFD Monitor created a concise, searchable interpretation from the published response wording shown below.

PFD Monitor interpretation

When used correctly, the MPDS algorithm identifies life-threatening asthma and results in a Category 1 response.

Verbatim wording from the response

“It is not the case that the system is relying on the information being offered/volunteered but rather that the questions within Protocol 6 will elicit the information required. It is in response to both the open and closed questions that the EMD must recognise ineffective breathing in a patient with asthma. When applied correctly this is a very reliable method of determining life threatening respiratory distress including life threatening asthma. Any patient who is identified as ineffective breathing should receive a category 1 response. Acute severe asthma”

Source location

2021-0056-Response-from-NHS-England-and-NHS-Improvement-Redacted
Page 2 · response
Published 8 March 2021

Open published response

Other statements in published responses

These actions and other statements could not be clearly connected to one concern in this report.

Recipient positions A position is what a recipient says about a concern when they do not describe a specific action.1

  1. 1

    The additional-investment issue was considered an internal NWAS operational matter, so commissioners could not comment further on it.

    Stated by NHS Lancashire and South Cumbria Integrated Care BoardUnable to actThe respondent said that a constraint prevented them from taking the relevant action.

Source evidence

How this respondent position was interpreted

PFD Monitor created a concise, searchable interpretation from the published response wording shown below.

PFD Monitor interpretation

The additional-investment issue was considered an internal NWAS operational matter, so commissioners could not comment further on it.

Verbatim wording from the response

“The specific point raised in your letter of NWAS seeking additional investment in November 2019 and being utilised from February 2020 is not recognised by commissioners as an external funding issue. As stated above it remains for NWAS to determine in year any shift in allocations of funding flexibly within and across the Trust to maintain patient safety and achieve the national performance standards, performance, and patient safety. Therefore, we are unable to comment further on the point made as this was not a request made by NWAS to commissioners and our understanding is that this would be an internal operational matter for NWAS.”

Source location

2021-0056-Response-from-Clinical-Commissioning-Group-Redacted
Page 3 · response
Published 8 March 2021

Open published response
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Information checked against the published report and official responses · Data reviewed 7 Sep 2026 · About data quality and limitations

Official responses located
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Data last updated 7 September 2026